Since May 7, the Royals are 19-46. That's winning 29% of their games and equals a 47-115 record over the course of a full season. If the Royals stay on this pace they will go 57-105 and will lose 48
MORE games this year. To avoid a 100-loss season, the Royals must go 26-42 over the remaining 68 games -- a seemingly out of reach winning percentage of .420.
The Royals are scoring 3.95 runs per game. The average American League team (including the Royals and Mariners) scores almost one run MORE per game (4.79). After the Royals and Mariners, the lowest runs/game average belongs to the Athletics who score 4.39/game.
Last year the Royals bullpen was a strength. The bullpen gave up fewer runs than the starters:
2008 Runs/Inning (Avg/9innings)
7th - .60 (5.44)
8th - .53 (4.78)
9th - .35 (3.18)
This year the bullpen, Soria aside, has been an utter disaster in the 8th inning:
2009 Runs/Inning (Avg/9innings)
7th - .57 (5.17)
8th - .79 (7.09) (!!!)
9th - .35 (3.18)
Where's Ramon Ramirez? Oh yeah, he's sitting at home in the form of Coco Crisp. Well then, where's Juan Cruz? Oh... right. Need I even mention Farnsworthless or John Bale or Ron Mahay?
The Royals have just 11 players who are accurately (or under) paid, and one of them is Sidney Ponson. This means they have 14 (!) players who aren't worth the money being paid to them. Five (!!!) of them have negative value: Jose Guillen (-$7.3M), Jamey Wright (-$1.0M), Mike Jacobs (-$0.7M), Yuniesky Betancourt (-$0.5M) and Juan Cruz (-$0.1M).
The current roster has Willie Bloomquist in CF, Yuniesky Betancourt at SS, Miguel Olivo at C, Jose Guillen in RF, and Mike Jacobs at DH and their average career OBP is .306 and a combined 'value' of -$2.9M.
Contrast that with Alex Gordon, who has 5 hits in 41 at bats, and is still worth $0.6M, which means he's already paid for himself.
All of this is to say that the Royals are a dreadful team. The off-season moves backfired (except for Greinke) and the budget increase that David Glass willingly gave Dayton Moore will likely result in a near 100-loss season. Fans from all demographics, basements and penthouses alike, know this season is a failure. All stats, from W-L records to Value calculators, show this season is a lost cause and a waste of time.
The disappointment of a failed (re(re(re(re))))rebuilding effort seeps through every Royals fan -- from
Rany and
Joe Posnanski to the season ticket holders who now have extra money free in next year's budget.
Even Jose Guillen
has been quoted as saying he sucks and is overpaid. Jose Guillen! When Jose Guillen is taking responsibility for himself, you know it must be blatantly obvious.
And finally Dayton Moore
took responsibility and owned up to this disaster he created:
“You get a good group of people together. You work hard together. You trust in one another. You go through the difficult times. You work hard to make good decisions. You keep guys together and, eventually, it will happen.”wait...
"I’m not abandoning the process. I believe in the process."but I...
"We’re going to keep the group we have, and we’re going to work. That’s the only way I know how to do it. It might not be the right way, but it’s the only way I know how to do it.”now hold on...
“Our processes are good. Our processes are consistent. We’re not right all of the time, but the effort is there, the passion is there and we will get this thing done without a doubt in my mind as we move forward. I believe that with all of my heart.”Ok... so he hasn't actually taken responsibility for anything. He's confident the process he's in the midst of is 'good' and 'consistent'. He thinks the players we have now are good enough... to... well, who knows what they're good enough
for. Dammit, they're just plain good enough.
Perhaps he's right. But we're getting to the point where it seems last year's team that battled to 75 wins might be the peak of the Dayton Moore era. 2010 looks bleak -- there is almost no payroll coming off the books and there is almost no help waiting in the minors. It appears the team will essentially be unchanged next year.
So maybe Dayton Moore is right. Maybe all the talent the Royals need to succeed is already at the Major League level. Maybe next year will be different -- better. Dayton Moore seems to think so. Dayton Moore is pinning his job and reputation on that 'maybe'.
But a team that goes 19-46 and has so many cement blocks tied to it's feet rarely resurfaces. It's possible... maybe.
But it's absolutely not possible when the man in charge has no idea he's even under water, much less weighted down with concrete. The only way he resurfaces is by shedding the concrete and hoping he has enough air to make it back up.
I think it's too late.